Posts Tagged ‘revaluation’

FROM WALLINGFORD – Cold numbers, warm town

Wednesday, December 30th, 2009

JASON ZANDRI

Jason From Wallingford

As I look at the calendar, I realize that I am writing my last piece for 2009 (my counterpart, Steve Knight, has the reigns for the December 27th publication).

In thinking back over 2009, I realize just how difficult a year it was for Wallingford (and the rest of the world, for that matter) with respect to the economy. Clearly, this recession has been the worst economic event since the Great Depression.

Opinion may be that the major decline is over and we are seeing growth in some sectors; however, some of us remember that in the more recent recessions of 80-82 and 90-91, Connecticut didn’t recover in the same way as the rest of the country. A fair portion of our manufacturing jobs disappeared to different parts of the globe. When the economy rebounded, Connecticut was behind the curve. It did replace jobs, but with lower-paying, serv­ice-oriented professions that are more susceptible to recessions because while manufacturing declines during a reces­sion, service-oriented professions are hit worse as people will simply cut back or stop using them altogether.

I fear this recovery will be no different for Connecticut.

A recession is now often defined simply as a period when GDP falls (negative real economic growth) for at least two consec­utive quarters.

As Wallingford enters 2010, there may well be more deepening of the impact of the current recession as it formally ends (the US did have one quarter of slight ex­pansion; all we need is one more and from a technical standpoint the recession is over).

The state is running a deficit, and cuts are coming to programs that were other­wise expecting to see state funds.

Wallingford’s School System has al­ready indicated that this upcoming year will be one of the tightest budget years ever due to reductions in state funding, and that certain items in their budgets that are already running in the red with less than half the school year gone.

Several neighboring towns have already indicated that tax-collecting is down, and while every town has a certain buffer built in for expected arrearages, they all admit that despite adding to that buffer for this upcoming tax year, it may well be that they underestimated the total impact.

All of this means that unless town serv­ices (some of which are already bare bones) can find ways to leverage new ways of doing things that return a total lower cost, residents may find themselves doing without those services or paying more for them.

Since some services cannot be done away with, the latter will most likely be the case. Compound that with revaluation and what this means is more taxes for res­idents, many of whom are struggling to pay as it is.

The incoming Town Council certainly has a daunting task in front of it in finding ways to balance all of this. I believe they are up to the task. I believe that as difficult of a recovery as this may be over the next 12 to 24 months, residents of Wallingford will do just that – recover (gracefully, I might add).

In spite of all of this difficulty, residents of Wallingford have come together for the Wallingford Emergency Shelter, Masters Manna, Animal Shelter and other organi­zations as they’ve needed help.

In the worst economic period since the Great Depression, citizens of this town dig in, push forward, and ask “what else ya got?“ (They understand that “this, too, shall pass.”)

2010 is not going to be an easier year, at least not at first, but it should get easier as the year moves forward.

It will seem easier simply due to the willingness of neighbors and strangers to not let something as big as a recession keep them from being good citizens and doing the right things.

This is the Walling­ford I love most.

FROM WALLINGFORD – Bleak years and the property tax

Sunday, August 23rd, 2009

Jason Zandri

As published online via MyRecordJournal.com Friday August 14, 2009 for Sunday print publication in the Record Journal

Jason From Wallingford

There was an Associated Press story in the Record Journal on Tuesday August 4th titled "Biggest drop in tax revenues since 1932" written by Stephen Ohlemacher. (If you go to Bing.com and do a search for "Stephen Ohlemacher 1932" you’ll be able to find links on the internet and you can read the entire article).

The main points of the article showed that the recession is starving the federal government of tax revenue at a time when there is a major expansion planned for health care and other programs. It is never good to hear about expanding costs at any time but especially in the face of declining revenues.

Because of the way government works it doesn’t even mean that all of these programs (new or existing) will be curbed or curtailed; many will still go forward and either be paid into now by raising the taxes of those that still do pay their bills or by borrowing from the future (in the form of more debt).

At the federal level it was reported that tax receipts have dropped at this point "18 percent this year while the federal deficit rose to a record $1.8 trillion. Individual income tax receipts are down 22 percent from a year ago. Corporate income taxes are down 57 percent. Social Security tax receipts could drop for only the second time since 1940, and Medicare taxes are on pace to drop for only the third time ever."

"The last time the government’s revenues were this bleak, the year was 1932 in the midst of the Depression."

All of this brings me back home and that ever fateful discussion of property taxes here in Wallingford. While property taxes are a very different animal from the above discussion there are some similarities.

For one thing, tax charges are reviewed and collected based on the planned budget and assumed against all of the assessed property in town (that can be taxed; some major land and property owners in town are tax exempt and pay nothing or next to nothing). With respect to the local budget and the tax assessments of a few years ago, the mill rate has been set to collect taxes to pay for all the town’s expenses and services that are consumed.

The issue I see upcoming is that we are planning for a reassessment soon which isn’t really going to change the amount of collected taxes from most people because if the property value goes down the mill rate must go up because the dollars that must come in through taxes for the planned expenses must be covered.

My concern is how Wallingford might be planning to handle payments that are not coming in (defaults and payments going into arrears).

I am not privy to every conversation in town, heck, I’m not privy to most, but when I have asked about what we’re planning to do if tax collections fall dramatically I’m not getting complete answers and this concerns me.

The answers range from, "we have a little cushion assumed because every year there are a certain number of bills that go into arrears and this year we broadened that somewhat" to "we’re expecting some drop off but nothing radical."

"The last time the government’s revenues were this bleak, the year was 1932 in the midst of the Depression."

This is not to sound like Chicken Little but I wonder if we’ve planned enough since the last time levels like this were seen, no one that presently works in Town Hall was even born (save perhaps for one or two exceptions).

We’ve done a really good job at running lean, Wallingford always has, but with little buffer room and no real visible fat that means in a dramatic negative swing we might need dramatic action to keep from having to suddenly take on unnecessary short term debt or having a need to suddenly suspend some services.